Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 2.050108e-01 0.243936 0.285633 0.333349 0.386169 0.442589 0.507148
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 1.535385e-01 0.205710 0.265812 0.339062 0.424836 0.521067 0.636154
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 1.107573e-01 0.168126 0.239260 0.331296 0.444645 0.577269 0.741743
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 8.402388e-02 0.144386 0.224673 0.334277 0.475204 0.645873 0.863705
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 6.113255e-02 0.120517 0.205613 0.328186 0.492410 0.697706 0.966566
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.213756e-02 0.097403 0.183387 0.314331 0.497073 0.732565 1.048463
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 3.262938e-02 0.086847 0.177265 0.321195 0.528416 0.801532 1.174331
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 2.283214e-02 0.072632 0.162895 0.313974 0.539006 0.842781 1.265014
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.880530e-02 0.068483 0.164092 0.329706 0.581995 0.927871 1.414198
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.369070e-02 0.059953 0.156173 0.330045 0.602133 0.981984 1.523253
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 9.877359e-03 0.052795 0.149368 0.331123 0.622761 1.036704 1.633677
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 7.649923e-03 0.048894 0.148065 0.340901 0.656432 1.110017 1.770143
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 5.890478e-03 0.045611 0.147722 0.352637 0.694180 1.190994 1.920120
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.441696e-03 0.042445 0.147066 0.363627 0.731037 1.271491 2.070925
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.673737e-03 0.036096 0.138034 0.358539 0.741926 1.314540 2.170564
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.747956e-03 0.032527 0.134721 0.363560 0.768961 1.381428 2.304270
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 8.964113e-04 0.027482 0.126491 0.358245 0.778512 1.422421 2.401967
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.087799e-04 0.021725 0.114582 0.344212 0.772442 1.439478 2.465550
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.517722e-04 0.019904 0.113460 0.351923 0.803333 1.512618 2.610020
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.763019e-05 0.016272 0.105563 0.344490 0.807502 1.544853 2.695847
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.207555e-05 0.016015 0.108823 0.361386 0.854742 1.643972 2.879604
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.410383e-07 0.013884 0.104843 0.361842 0.872680 1.697905 2.998157
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.012075 0.101381 0.363047 0.891798 1.753799 3.120057